The sixth time will be the charm for Noah Wyle. The ER vet earned five consecutive Emmy nominations for playing Dr. John Carter on the medical drama
The sixth time will be the charm for Noah Wyle. The ER vet earned five consecutive Emmy nominations for playing Dr. John Carter on the medical drama over two decades ago, and should finally take home his first statue for his starring role as Dr. Michael “Robby” Robinavitch on yet another addictive medical drama. Wyle’s biggest competition is Adam Scott, who leads Severance, the most nominated show this season at the Emmys and the probable outstanding-drama-series winner. (Pascal, Brown, and Oldman, it’s an honor to be nominated!) But the combination of leading this season’s buzziest modern prestige drama and the feeling that Wyle is long overdue for recognition means that Dr. Robby’s got this all sewn up. —Chris Murphy
OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES
Zach Cherry, Severance
PREDICTED WINNER: Walton Goggins, The White Lotus
Jason Isaacs, The White Lotus
James Marsden, Paradise
Sam Rockwell, The White Lotus
Tramell Tillman, Severance
John Turturro, Severance
This one’s a bit of a nail-biter that may come down to which drama has a better overall night at the Emmys: Severance or The White Lotus. (James Marsden, thank you for playing.) Conventional wisdom states that Goggins has the best chance of the White Lotus pack, while Tillman is the standout from season two of Severance. But which actor will go all the way? Given the reach of his role and the je ne sais quoi of the performer himself, it seems like it’ll be Goggins by a nose—but if Severance sweeps the drama categories, Tillman could well get the boost he needs to win. —Hillary Busis
OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES
Patricia Arquette, Severance
PREDICTED WINNER: Carrie Coon, The White Lotus
Katherine LaNasa, The Pitt
Julianne Nicholson, Paradise
Parker Posey, The White Lotus
Natasha Rothwell, The White Lotus
Aimee Lou Wood, The White Lotus
An actual race! Nearly all—at least a lot—of the White Lotus ladies are pitted against one another in this category, but it’s likely that Carrie Coon will edge out her costar Parker Posey for the win. Posey’s role generated the most memes for the series, but Coon’s monologue in the final episode gave this season its most emotional moment. Coon is also coming off a great season of another HBO show, The Gilded Age, which could be top of mind for Emmy voters. And if there is a groundswell of support for The Pitt, Katherine LaNasa could even pull off a surprise upset in the category. Tsunami! Lorazepam! —John Ross
OUTSTANDING WRITING FOR A DRAMA SERIES
Andor, “Welcome to the Rebellion”
The Pitt, “2:00 P.M.”
The Pitt, “7:00 A.M.”
PREDICTED WINNER: Severance, “Cold Harbor”
Slow Horses, “Hello Goodbye”
The White Lotus, “Full-Moon Party”
Slow Horses won this category last year in what was considered the biggest surprise of the night. And The White Lotus won the writing award back when it was competing as an anthology series. The Pitt earning two nominations signals that the writing branch really likes that show. But the better strategy here is to just have one episode nominated—it’s very scarce for a show with multiple nominations to win. (Just look at Mad Men, which went home empty-handed in the writing category when it had three nominations in 2012.) So Severance’s “Cold Harbor,” the incredible finale of the second season and one of the most talked-about episodes of TV this year, should walk away easily with this. —R.F.
OUTSTANDING DIRECTING FOR A DRAMA SERIES
Andor, “Who Are You?”
The Pitt, “6:00 P.M.”
The Pitt, “7:00 A.M.”
Severance, “Chikhai Bardo”
PREDICTED WINNER: Severance, “Cold Harbor”
Slow Horses, “Hello Goodbye”
The White Lotus, “Amor Fati”
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